<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<rss version="2.0"
	xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/"
	xmlns:wfw="http://wellformedweb.org/CommentAPI/"
	xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/"
	xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom"
	xmlns:sy="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/syndication/"
	xmlns:slash="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/slash/"
	>

<channel>
	<title>Bull Market Thinking</title>
	<atom:link href="http://bullmarketthinking.com/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://bullmarketthinking.com</link>
	<description>Global Trends, Markets, and Precious Metals With Tekoa Da Silva</description>
	<lastBuildDate>Fri, 24 May 2013 11:29:03 +0000</lastBuildDate>
	<language>en</language>
	<sy:updatePeriod>hourly</sy:updatePeriod>
	<sy:updateFrequency>1</sy:updateFrequency>
	<generator>http://wordpress.org/?v=3.2.1</generator>
		<item>
		<title>Gold Bug Hedge Funds Collectively Report Over $183mm In New Call Option Positions On Miners</title>
		<link>http://bullmarketthinking.com/gold-bug-hedge-funds-collectively-report-over-183mm-in-new-call-option-positions-on-miners/</link>
		<comments>http://bullmarketthinking.com/gold-bug-hedge-funds-collectively-report-over-183mm-in-new-call-option-positions-on-miners/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 18 May 2013 11:55:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Tekoa Da Silva</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Gold]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mining Shares]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://bullmarketthinking.com/?p=8229</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p style="text-align: center;"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-8316" title="Gold Bug Trio - George Soros, John Paulson, &#38; Steve Cohen" src="http://bullmarketthinking.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/05/Trio4.jpg" alt="" width="446" height="233" /></p>
<p style="text-align: left;">While mainstream news sources continue the war against gold and gold-related investments, three of the world's top performing hedge fund managers have been busy at work building speculative gold positions during the first quarter.</p>
<p style="text-align: left;"><em><strong>George Soros</strong></em>, <em><strong>John Paulson</strong></em>, and <em><strong>Steve Cohen</strong></em>, who in aggregate control over <em><strong>$60 billion dollars</strong></em>, have been aggressively buying the most speculative vehicles associated with gold]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p style="text-align: center;"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-8316" title="Gold Bug Trio - George Soros, John Paulson, &amp; Steve Cohen" src="http://bullmarketthinking.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/05/Trio4.jpg" alt="" width="446" height="233" /></p>
<p style="text-align: left;">While mainstream news sources continue the war against gold and gold-related investments, three of the world&#8217;s top performing hedge fund managers have been busy at work building speculative gold positions during the first quarter.</p>
<p style="text-align: left;"><em><strong>George Soros</strong></em>, <em><strong>John Paulson</strong></em>, and <em><strong>Steve Cohen</strong></em>, who in aggregate control over <em><strong>$60 billion dollars</strong></em>, have been aggressively buying the most speculative vehicles associated with gold: call options on gold mining stocks.</p>
<p style="text-align: left;">Starting out with, <em><strong>George Soros</strong></em>, billionaire financier and chairman of <em><strong>Soros Fund Manangement LLC</strong></em>, was the target of <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-05-16/soros-leads-gold-stake-cuts-before-bear-market-drop.html">bearish gold commentary</a> this week issued by Bloomberg. While Bloomberg journalists correctly reported that he&#8217;s been cutting his stake in gold, what they failed to mention (which was articulated here on <a href="http://bullmarketthinking.com/soros-reports-over-239mm-in-gold-positions-buys-25mm-in-call-options-on-juniors/">May 16th</a>), was how he reallocated the proceeds.</p>
<p style="text-align: left;">Soros indeed cut his stake in the <em><strong>GLD</strong></em> gold fund by about <em><strong>$2.5mm</strong></em>&#8212;a paltry sum, especially given the fact that he simultaneously purchased a massive <em><strong>$25mm in call options</strong></em> on the <em><strong>GDXJ</strong></em> Junior Gold Miners Index. This purchase outweighs the physical gold sale by a factor of 10&#8212;suggesting he expects much greater gains ahead to be had in the junior mining stocks.</p>
<p style="text-align: left;">Reported exclusively here on <a href="http://bullmarketthinking.com/sac-capital-partners-bets-a-quarter-billion-on-gold-silver-mining-shares/">February 19th</a>, was <em><strong>Steve Cohen, </strong></em>founder of <strong style="font-style: italic;">SAC Capital Partners LP</strong>,<em><strong> </strong></em>purchased a <em><strong>$60mm </strong></em>option &#8220;straddle&#8221; position on the <em><strong>GLD</strong></em> during Q4 2012, which represented the expectation of an explosive move in gold&#8212;either up or down in price. Indeed, that is exactly what occurred, and during Q1, SAC Capital Partners closed out that $60mm straddle position (no doubt at a staggering profit), while at the same time buying <em><strong>$66mm in call options </strong></em>on a major gold &amp; copper producer. The firm also maintained over <em><strong>$76mm</strong></em> in long positions on mining equities during Q1.</p>
<p style="text-align: left;">The largest of the trio in terms of gold positioning for the quarter, was <em><strong>John Paulson</strong></em>, founder of <em><strong>Paulson &amp; Co.</strong></em>, which reported owning over <em><strong>$4.389 billion</strong></em> in total gold holdings. Paulson held firm his <em><strong>$3.3 billion</strong></em> stake in <em><strong>GLD</strong></em>, and further added a shocking <em><strong>$96mm</strong><strong> in call options</strong></em> on two major gold mining companies. <em>(Editors note: Paulson &amp; Co.&#8217;s call option position was incorrectly stated as $92mm, article updated on the 19th)</em></p>
<p style="text-align: left;">In sum, this group of gold bug fund managers reported total purchases of over <em><strong>$183 million dollars</strong></em> in new call option positions on gold mining equities during the first quarter, with over <em><strong>$25mm</strong></em> (see <a href="http://bullmarketthinking.com/soros-reports-over-239mm-in-gold-positions-buys-25mm-in-call-options-on-juniors/">May 16th</a> piece), dedicated to the <em><strong>GDXJ</strong></em> Junior Gold Miners index, as deployed by <em><strong>Soros Fund Management.<br />
&#8212;</strong></em></p>
<p><strong>Bottom Line</strong>: While gold and gold mining equities in particular have become the world&#8217;s most hated investment, three of the top hedge fund managers of our generation are not only holding firm their previous gold holdings&#8212;but they are <strong><em>quietly accumulating tens of millions of dollars in call options on gold mining stocks.</em></strong></p>
<p>If the capital they&#8217;re sending into battle is any indication, it might suggest that these men are expecting <strong><em>breathtaking surges higher in mining shares</em></strong>, with Soros&#8217; position speaking the loudest&#8212;as call options purchased on a junior mining index is akin to call options purchased on a leveraged equity ETF.<br />
-<br />
<em>To view the detailed Q1 2013 13-F statements reported by these funds, consult the following SEC links:  </em></p>
<p>Q1 <a href="http://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&amp;filenum=028-06420&amp;owner=exclude&amp;count=40">13-F</a> &#8211; Soros Fund Management<br />
Q1 <a href="http://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&amp;CIK=0001451928&amp;type=13F-HR&amp;dateb=&amp;owner=exclude&amp;count=40">13-F</a> &#8211; SAC Capital Partners<br />
Q1 <a href="http://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&amp;filenum=028-10010&amp;owner=exclude&amp;count=40">13-F</a> &#8211; Paulson &amp; Co.</p>
<p><strong>Enjoy the article? Please support the site by sharing this URL page link with friends, family, and your favorite chat forum.</strong></p>
<p>Thanks,<br />
Tekoa Da Silva<br />
Bull Market Thinking</p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://bullmarketthinking.com/gold-bug-hedge-funds-collectively-report-over-183mm-in-new-call-option-positions-on-miners/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Soros Reports Over $239mm In Gold Positions, Buys $25mm In Call Options On Juniors</title>
		<link>http://bullmarketthinking.com/soros-reports-over-239mm-in-gold-positions-buys-25mm-in-call-options-on-juniors/</link>
		<comments>http://bullmarketthinking.com/soros-reports-over-239mm-in-gold-positions-buys-25mm-in-call-options-on-juniors/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 16 May 2013 10:32:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Tekoa Da Silva</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Gold]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mining Shares]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Silver]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://bullmarketthinking.com/?p=8162</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p style="text-align: center;"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-8169" title="Soros" src="http://bullmarketthinking.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/05/soros21.jpg" alt="" width="442" height="265" /></p>
In a <a href="http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1029160/000114036113021038/form13fhr.txt">13-F release</a> issued by the SEC after market close yesterday, it was reported that <em><strong>Soros Fund Management LLC, </strong></em>founded and chaired by billionaire financier <em><strong>George Soros</strong></em>, significantly increased it's gold related holdings<strong><em>, </em></strong>most notably, through the purchase of over <em><strong>$25 million dollars worth of call options</strong></em> on the <em><strong>GDXJ</strong></em> Junior Gold Miners index.

This stunning move by one of the world's top performing]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p style="text-align: center;"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-8169" title="Soros" src="http://bullmarketthinking.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/05/soros21.jpg" alt="" width="442" height="265" /></p>
<p>In a <a href="http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1029160/000114036113021038/form13fhr.txt">13-F release</a> issued by the SEC after market close yesterday, it was reported that <em><strong>Soros Fund Management LLC, </strong></em>founded and chaired by billionaire financier <em><strong>George Soros</strong></em>, significantly increased its gold related holdings<strong><em>, </em></strong>most notably, through the purchase of over <em><strong>$25 million dollars worth of call options</strong></em> on the <em><strong>GDXJ</strong></em> Junior Gold Miners index.</p>
<p>This stunning move by one of the world&#8217;s top performing hedge funds, suggests a powerful surge ahead for gold equities. It should be noted, that in the <em><strong>forty years</strong></em> prior to 2010, the Soros Fund averaged a<span style="text-decoration: underline;"><em><strong> 20% annual rate of return</strong></em></span>.</p>
<p>A breakdown of the <a href="http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1029160/000114036113021038/form13fhr.txt">13-F</a> data indicates that during the first quarter, the Soros Fund:</p>
<p>1. Maintained a <em><strong>$32mm</strong></em> stake in individual miners.</p>
<p>2. Added a <strong><em>staggering</em></strong> <em><strong>1.1 million shares of GDX</strong></em> to its holdings, at a reported price of <em><strong>$37.84 per share</strong></em><em><strong>. </strong></em>Total Soros Fund GDX holdings now stand at <em><strong>2.666 million shares</strong></em>, at a reported value of over <em><strong>$100,000,000.</strong></em></p>
<p>3. Reduced it&#8217;s long position in the <em><strong>GDXJ</strong></em> Junior Miners Index fund, from <em><strong>1.998 million shares</strong></em> to <em><strong>1.2 million shares&#8212;</strong></em>only to turn around, and purchase <em><strong>1.510 million call options</strong></em> on the same index, at a reported value of <em><strong>$25,200,000. </strong></em></p>
<p>4. Lastly, the fund reduced its stake in the <em><strong>GLD</strong></em> gold fund from <em><strong>600k shares</strong></em> to <em><strong>530k shares</strong></em>, for a total reported value of <em><strong>$82,000,000</strong>.</em></p>
<p>In summary, as of May 15th, 2013, <em><strong>Soros Fund Management LLC</strong></em> reported owning over <em><strong>$239.2 million</strong></em> in <em><strong>gold related positioning</strong></em>, with over <em><strong>$25 million</strong></em> dedicated to call options on junior mining stocks.<br />
&#8212;</p>
<p><span style="text-decoration: underline;"><strong>Bottom Line</strong></span>: While debate continues as to how far gold and gold equities will continue to drop, the Soros Fund is lightening up on physical gold in exchange for <em><strong>gold mining equities</strong></em> and <strong><em>call options on the extremely volatile junior mining stocks. </em></strong></p>
<p>There couldn&#8217;t be any stronger indication by the fund as to its beliefs about the timing of this bottom <em>(outside of selling everything and going all-in on call options of course). </em></p>
<p>It remains to be seen whether these positions will end up in the green or not, but with a <em><strong>forty year track record of 20% annual returns</strong></em>, I&#8217;ll be betting on the Soros Fund.<br />
&#8212;</p>
<p><em>To view the entire Q1 2013 13-F filing as reported by Soros Fund Management LLC, visit: <a href="http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1029160/000114036113021038/form13fhr.txt">SEC.gov</a></em></p>
<p><strong>Enjoy the article? Please support the site by sharing this URL page link with friends, family, and your favorite chat forum.</strong></p>
<p>Thanks,<br />
Tekoa Da Silva<br />
Bull Market Thinking</p>
<p>Photo <a href="http://blogs.reuters.com/chrystia-freeland/files/2012/11/RTR2RSIQ.jpg">source</a>.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://bullmarketthinking.com/soros-reports-over-239mm-in-gold-positions-buys-25mm-in-call-options-on-juniors/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Mining CEO John Smith: &#8220;This Is A Time That People Want To Acquire&#8230;To Both Buy and Build&#8221;</title>
		<link>http://bullmarketthinking.com/mining-ceo-john-smith-this-is-a-time-that-people-want-to-acquire-to-both-buy-and-build/</link>
		<comments>http://bullmarketthinking.com/mining-ceo-john-smith-this-is-a-time-that-people-want-to-acquire-to-both-buy-and-build/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 15 May 2013 13:13:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Tekoa Da Silva</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Mining Shares]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Silver]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[South America]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://bullmarketthinking.com/?p=7956</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p style="text-align: center;"><img class="size-full wp-image-8157 aligncenter" title="Pirquitas Mine" src="http://bullmarketthinking.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/05/Pirquitas.jpg" alt="" width="442" height="257" /></p>
I had the chance to connect recently with <em><strong>John Smith</strong></em>, President and CEO of <em><strong>Silver Standard Resources </strong></em>. It was an interesting conversation, as John has been in the resource industry for 30 years, with nearly 20 of those spent developing mines at BHP Billiton.

During the interview, John indicated that as the world's major mining companies are slashing capital expenditure and]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p style="text-align: center;"><img class="size-full wp-image-8157 aligncenter" title="Pirquitas Mine" src="http://bullmarketthinking.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/05/Pirquitas.jpg" alt="" width="442" height="257" /></p>
<p>I had the chance to connect recently with <em><strong>John Smith</strong></em>, President and CEO of <em><strong>Silver Standard Resources </strong>(see <a href="#codeword">disclosure</a>)</em>. It was an interesting conversation, as John has been in the resource industry for 30 years, with nearly 20 of those spent developing mines at BHP Billiton.</p>
<p>During the interview,<img class="alignright size-full wp-image-8124" title="CEO John Smith" src="http://bullmarketthinking.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/05/johnsmith1.jpg" alt="" width="134" height="168" /> John indicated that as the world&#8217;s major mining companies are slashing capital expenditure and exploration budgets, mining costs are slowly turning around. He also spoke to the stabilizing political environment in Argentina for miners, as well as commenting on the <em>&#8220;paper to physical&#8221;</em> dynamic he sees in both precious metals and energy.</p>
<p>When asked if this is a good time to be developing new mines, John explained that, <strong style="font-style: italic;">&#8220;If you look at</strong> <strong style="font-style: italic;">the majors; the BHP Billiton&#8217;s, the Rio Tinto&#8217;s, and the Xstrata&#8217;s, you can see there&#8217;s a lot of companies pulling</strong> <strong style="font-style: italic;">back now on building mines. [That] does a couple of things. First&#8230;for the market and suppliers [of] m</strong><strong style="font-style: italic;">ajor processing equipment and mobile fleets&#8230;you tend to see</strong> <strong style="font-style: italic;">the delivery schedules getting much shorter&#8230;and [there isn't] so much heat in the prices, [because] there&#8217;s not [as]</strong><strong style="font-style: italic;"> much competition for that equipment. </strong></p>
<p><em><strong>&#8220;[Secondly], it&#8217;s also a time that people want to acquire&#8230;As these [periods of] compression in silver and gold prices&#8230;provide the unique opportunity to buy, and sometimes it&#8217;s better to <span style="text-decoration: underline;">buy and build</span>, because of the &#8216;<span style="text-decoration: underline;">speed to market</span>&#8216; of cash flow&#8230;</strong></em><em><strong>So it really is a good time&#8230;in terms of being counter cyclical to the</strong> <strong>industry.&#8221;</strong></em></p>
<p>John also pointed to the increased trading interest of mining properties, in that, <strong style="font-style: italic;">&#8220;W</strong><em><strong>hat [companies] deem as &#8216;non-core&#8217; [properties are] coming into the market, and their &#8216;non-core&#8217; is &#8216;core&#8217; for some other people. So again, it&#8217;s an opportune time [in] the marketplace.&#8221;</strong></em></p>
<p>With regard to the business environment in Argentina, John indicated that, <strong style="font-style: italic;">&#8220;We&#8217;re seeing less &#8216;changes&#8217; now. There was a period of time where there [were lots of] changes around import</strong> <strong style="font-style: italic;">and export restrictions, and we still live in that environment&#8230;[but] we&#8217;ve not seen</strong> <em><strong>too many other structural impacts recently, so [there's] been a point of somewhat stability there.&#8221;</strong></em></p>
<p>He further added that,<strong style="font-style: italic;"> &#8220;For miners,</strong> <strong style="font-style: italic;">our investment horizon is seven years, [and while] we&#8217;re looking at the day to day, we&#8217;re also focus[ing] on seven years</strong> <strong style="font-style: italic;">out&#8230;</strong><strong style="font-style: italic;">because as we make investments (and in mining they are large investments), they&#8217;ve got a long life&#8230;[so] stability and clarity is absolutely important.&#8221;</strong></p>
<p>When asked his thoughts on physical silver, John commented that, <em><strong>&#8220;The delinkage between the physical and the paper [market] is quite strong&#8230;You look at oil and gas and it&#8217;s something like 100 times paper to physical&#8230;[and] you get that in the precious metals as well. So there is a disconnect. The marginal price of silver is being determined by the investment demand now&#8230;[However], risk and reward is not appropriately placed, [so] we&#8217;re going to see a return to silver and gold no doubt.&#8221;</strong></em><a name="codeword"></a></p>
<p>Wrapping up with thoughts on the long-term fundamentals of silver, John concluded by saying,<em><strong> &#8221;[There's] the investment potential in silver, but [it's] also a commodity that&#8217;s consumed. In the times that the economy is running [strong], there&#8217;s a high amount of silver secured for building computer electronics, medical equipment, and renewable energy&#8230;[So] </strong></em><em><strong>I think <span style="text-decoration: underline;">we&#8217;ll see a return to silver in the not too distant future</span>&#8230;[as] it is a great metal long term.&#8221;</strong></em><br />
&#8212;&#8212;</p>
<p><em><strong>Disclosure: </strong></em> <em>Silver Standard has been kind enough to help keep the lights on here at Bull Market Thinking. However, this interview is not a recommendation to buy, sell or otherwise take action on the stock. Your editor instead recommends that we &#8220;comb through&#8221; John&#8217;s comments, carefully looking for educational bricks which serve the highest value.</em></p>
<p>To listen to the interview, left click the following link and/or right click and &#8220;save target as&#8221; or &#8220;save link as&#8221; to your desktop:</p>
<p><strong><span style="font-size: medium;"><a href="http://bullmarketthinking.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/05/5142013smith.mp3">&gt;&gt;Interview with John Smith (MP3)</a></span></strong></p>
<p><strong>Enjoy the interview? Please support the site by sharing this URL page link with friends, family, and your favorite chat forum.</strong></p>
<p>Thanks,<br />
Tekoa Da Silva<br />
Bull Market Thinking</p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://bullmarketthinking.com/mining-ceo-john-smith-this-is-a-time-that-people-want-to-acquire-to-both-buy-and-build/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
<enclosure url="http://bullmarketthinking.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/05/5142013smith.mp3" length="8869828" type="audio/mpeg" />
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Don Coxe: Buying Gold May Have Downside Risk, &#8220;But The Upside Is Going To Be Enormous&#8221;</title>
		<link>http://bullmarketthinking.com/don-coxe-buying-gold-may-have-downside-risk-but-the-upside-is-going-to-be-enormous/</link>
		<comments>http://bullmarketthinking.com/don-coxe-buying-gold-may-have-downside-risk-but-the-upside-is-going-to-be-enormous/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 14 May 2013 18:16:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Tekoa Da Silva</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gold]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://bullmarketthinking.com/?p=8081</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p style="text-align: center;"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-5533" title="Don Coxe" src="http://bullmarketthinking.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/03/Don-Coxe1.jpg" alt="" width="422" height="240" /></p>
Legendary investor<em><strong>&#160;Don Coxe, Chairman of&#160;<a href="http://www.coxeadvisors.com/Don_Coxe_-_Coxe_Advisors/About.html">Coxe Advisors LLP</a></strong></em>, and former advisor to the<strong><em>&#160;$540 billion BMO Financial Group</em>, </strong>issued a powerful new commentary entitled, <em><strong><a href="http://events.digitalmedia.telus.com/coxeadvisors/051013/index2.php?page=register">"Money Makes the World Go Round"</a>.&#160;</strong></em>

In this updated piece, Don spoke to the staggering growth of]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p style="text-align: center;"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-5533" title="Don Coxe" src="http://bullmarketthinking.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/03/Don-Coxe1.jpg" alt="" width="422" height="240" /></p>
<p>Legendary investor<em><strong>&nbsp;Don Coxe, Chairman of&nbsp;<a href="http://www.coxeadvisors.com/Don_Coxe_-_Coxe_Advisors/About.html">Coxe Advisors LLP</a></strong></em>, and former advisor to the<strong><em>&nbsp;$540 billion BMO Financial Group</em>, </strong>issued a powerful new commentary entitled, <em><strong><a href="http://events.digitalmedia.telus.com/coxeadvisors/051013/index2.php?page=register">&#8220;Money Makes the World Go Round&#8221;</a>.&nbsp;</strong></em></p>
<p>In this updated piece, Don spoke to the staggering growth of the U.S. monetary base, indicating that&nbsp;when&nbsp;<strong><em>monetary velocity</em></strong>&nbsp;regains its speed, a&nbsp;<strong><em>&#8220;nightmare scenario&#8221;</em></strong>&nbsp;could unfold, with gold to money supply ratios exploding from levels, <em><strong>&#8220;so far [below] any all-time lows, so as to [defy] the description.&#8221;</strong></em></p>
<p>Here is a highlighted segment taken from Don&#8217;s 30 min. commentary:</p>
<p><strong><em>&#8220;What Ben Bernanke explained in a&nbsp;series&nbsp;of lectures last year, was the core of his strategy; <span style="text-decoration: underline;">A dramatic&nbsp;</span></em></strong><strong style="font-style: italic;"><span style="text-decoration: underline;">expansion of the U.S. monetary base</span>, which shocked conservative republicans and&#8230;</strong><strong style="font-style: italic;"><span style="text-decoration: underline;">contributing to the big rally in gold</span>. In his view, he had to do it to prevent a new depression. And he</strong>&nbsp;<strong style="font-style: italic;">did that. But then he stayed with it, and his objective was to raise the value of the price of assets&#8212;</strong><em><strong>he never mentioned gold of course. And he succeeded in the stock market, <span style="text-decoration: underline;">probably beyond his dreams</span>.&#8221;</strong></em></p>
<p><strong style="font-style: italic;">&#8220;At some stage there will be a transmission mechanism to move money from the fed&#8217;s monetary base, <span style="text-decoration: underline;">which i</span></strong><strong style="font-style: italic;"><span style="text-decoration: underline;">s exploding at [a] 40% rate</span>, and it will work it&#8217;s way into the money supply growth. Now that has to happen</strong>&nbsp;<strong style="font-style: italic;">through what&#8217;s called a <span style="text-decoration: underline;">multiplier effect</span> in the banking system, where banks create money by granting</strong>&nbsp;<strong style="font-style: italic;">loans. That of course has not happened up until now, <span style="text-decoration: underline;">but there are signs that it&#8217;s emerging</span>. And that is</strong>&nbsp;<strong style="font-style: italic;">the big reason why the U.S. economy is doing better than most of the other big economies, because there</strong>&nbsp;<strong style="font-style: italic;">is growth in lending in the U.S. banking system.&#8221; </strong></p>
<p><strong style="font-style: italic;">&#8220;As that mechanism works, [there's] a point in which</strong>&nbsp;<strong style="font-style: italic;">it builds it&#8217;s momentum, that the fears of the conservative economists, and the fears of&nbsp;</strong><strong style="font-style: italic;">gold investors come into play. Because once money supply growth starts to expand&nbsp;off</strong>&nbsp;<strong style="font-style: italic;">that powerful monetary base, <span style="text-decoration: underline;">what you get is a self-reinforcing process</span>. That&#8217;s the stage at which</strong>&nbsp;<strong style="font-style: italic;">the <span style="text-decoration: underline;">nightmare scenario could unfold</span>, if they don&#8217;t rapidly raise interest rates and start to shrink the</strong>&nbsp;<em><strong>monetary base.&#8221;</strong></em></p>
<p><strong style="font-style: italic;">&#8220;[For gold investors], there&#8217;s more pain in store&#8230;until [the market] concludes, that buying may have</strong>&nbsp;<strong style="font-style: italic;">downside risk, but the upside is going to be enormous, once the inevitable result occurs, of money supply</strong>&nbsp;<strong style="font-style: italic;">growth growing far faster then GDP growth&#8212;setting off inflationary pressures in the economy. <span style="text-decoration: underline;">You cannot e</span></strong><strong style="font-style: italic;"><span style="text-decoration: underline;">xpand the monetary base by hundreds of percents for a long time</span>, having a no fault situation. <span style="text-decoration: underline;">Eventually&nbsp;</span></strong><em><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">a huge challenge occurs</span>.&#8221;</strong></em></p>
<p><strong style="font-style: italic;">&#8220;So once you reach the stage of futility, of saying &#8216;nothing is going to happen, there will not be enough</strong>&nbsp;<strong style="font-style: italic;">economic growth to stop expanding the monetary base,&#8217;</strong><strong><em>&#8230;<span style="text-decoration: underline;">at some point then,&nbsp;</span></em></strong><strong style="font-style: italic;"><span style="text-decoration: underline;">what we will get, is monetary velocity will revive</span>&#8230;</strong><strong style="font-style: italic;">This will occur in time therefore, where the ratio between the supply of gold, and the supply of paper</strong>&nbsp;<strong style="font-style: italic;">money in the world, will be not just at an all time low, but </strong><span style="font-style: italic; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;">so far [below] any all-time lows, so as to [defy] t</span><em><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">he description</span>.&#8221;</strong></em><br />
&#8212;&#8212;</p>
<p><span style="text-decoration: underline;"><strong>Bottom Line</strong></span>: While there is still a current downdraft in the price of gold, long-term fundamentals are skewing even tighter to the upside. When the ultimate <em><strong>&#8220;gold to paper money ratio&#8221;</strong></em> balance occurs, it will no doubt catch most by surprise.<br />
-<br />
Once again, this was a powerful new commentary issued by one of world&#8217;s most successful commodity fund advisors. It is required listening for serious investors and market students.</p>
<p>To listen to Don&#8217;s conference call in its entirety (and to follow his regular work) visit:&nbsp;<strong><a href="http://www.coxeadvisors.com/Don_Coxe_-_Coxe_Advisors/Home.html">CoxeAdvisors.com</a></strong></p>
<p><strong>Enjoy the article? Please support the site by&nbsp;sharing this URL page link with friends, family, and your favorite chat forum.</strong></p>
<p>Thanks,<br />
Tekoa Da Silva<br />
Bull Market Thinking</p>
<p>Photo&nbsp;<a href="http://m.theglobeandmail.com/globe-investor/investment-ideas/ask-don-coxe/article1486701/?service=mobile">source</a>.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://bullmarketthinking.com/don-coxe-buying-gold-may-have-downside-risk-but-the-upside-is-going-to-be-enormous/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Upside Volatility In Gold Cometh; With $100-$1,000 Daily Moves Being &#8220;Statistically Normal&#8221;</title>
		<link>http://bullmarketthinking.com/upside-volatility-in-gold-cometh-with-100-1000-daily-moves-being-statistically-normal/</link>
		<comments>http://bullmarketthinking.com/upside-volatility-in-gold-cometh-with-100-1000-daily-moves-being-statistically-normal/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 10 May 2013 12:25:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Tekoa Da Silva</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Gold]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://bullmarketthinking.com/?p=7788</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-7890" title="Gold" src="http://bullmarketthinking.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/05/gold.jpg" alt="" width="445" height="257" />

<sup><a id="ref1" href="http://www.militaryringinfo.com/service-ring/859-what-is-the-definition-of-a-firefight/">1</a></sup><em>"There can be many <strong>firefights</strong> in a battle...It's normally a brief engagement between units meeting in passing, or <strong>as part of an operation to <span style="text-decoration: underline;">clear enemy combatants</span> out of an area</strong>." </em>
-

The word <em><strong>f</strong><strong>irefight</strong></em> came to your editor's mind when reflecting on the collapse witnessed in gold during the month of April. On Friday, April 12th we saw a tremendous 5.16% drop, only to be followed by]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-7890" title="Gold" src="http://bullmarketthinking.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/05/gold.jpg" alt="" width="445" height="257" /></p>
<p><sup><a id="ref1" href="http://www.militaryringinfo.com/service-ring/859-what-is-the-definition-of-a-firefight/">1</a></sup><em>&#8220;There can be many <strong>firefights</strong> in a battle&#8230;It&#8217;s normally a brief engagement between units meeting in passing, or <strong>as part of an operation to <span style="text-decoration: underline;">clear enemy combatants</span> out of an area</strong>.&#8221; </em><br />
-</p>
<p>The word <em><strong>f</strong><strong>irefight</strong></em> came to your editor&#8217;s mind when reflecting on the collapse witnessed in gold during the month of April. On Friday, April 12th we saw a tremendous 5.16% drop, only to be followed by a total smash of 8.99% at the open on Monday the 15th.</p>
<p>In total, these two trading days represented an over 14% ($200+) collapse in the price of gold&#8212;the most volatile and frightening period for many since the recent bull market in gold began.</p>
<p>Indeed, Monday the 15th represented <em><strong>the single biggest day of nominal trading losses in gold&#8217;s history</strong></em>. (See chart below)</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://bullmarketthinking.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/05/largest-loss1.jpg"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-7803" title="largest loss" src="http://bullmarketthinking.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/05/largest-loss1.jpg" alt="" width="442" height="257" /></a></p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><em>(click to enlarge)</em></p>
<p>An easy conclusion for gold opponents to argue here, is that gold is riskier than ever before, and those who owned it before the crash have been sorely punished for their indiscretions.</p>
<p>But what you are likely already aware of, is that <em><strong>the fundamentals have screamed back </strong></em>at the sell-off, with Comex <a href="http://bullmarketthinking.com/comex-gold-inventories-collapse-by-largest-amount-on-record/">inventory depletion</a> reaching historical levels, and <a href="http://bullmarketthinking.com/major-indian-gold-dealer-there-is-a-clear-fight-going-in-procuring-metal-as-early-as-possible/">hundreds of tons of gold</a> being vacuumed up by the world&#8217;s largest retail buyers.</p>
<p>Therefore, this collapse appears to have functioned as a <em>&#8220;market clearing event,&#8221;</em> as described during the opening quote, <em><strong>&#8220;an operation to clear [out] enemy combatants,&#8221;</strong> </em>or as gold trader Gary Savage recently suggested, a means to <strong><em>&#8220;unlock physical metal&#8230;[bringing it] back into the market,&#8221;</em></strong> to meet potential,<em> &#8220;repatriation obligations&#8221;. </em></p>
<p>With that said, when looking at history to determine what might follow this market firefight, data shows we are still in the &#8220;<em>nascency&#8221;</em> of this bull market<strong><em> in terms of the upside volatility to come. </em></strong></p>
<p><strong><em></em></strong>To be blunt: <strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">We ain&#8217;t seen nothing yet</span>. </strong></p>
<p>As shown in the chart below, gold&#8217;s historical daily percentage changes (the real indicator of volatility), illustrate that gold&#8217;s volatility exploded to incredible heights between the years of 1970-1981. Percentage moves recorded during this eleven year period include:</p>
<p><strong>46 days</strong> in which gold traded up <strong>5% or more&#8230;</strong><br />
<strong>10 days</strong> in which gold traded up <strong>7% or more&#8230;</strong><br />
<strong>6 days</strong> in which gold traded up <em><strong>8% or more&#8230;</strong></em><br />
<span style="text-decoration: underline;"><strong>3 days</strong></span> in which gold traded up <em><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">10% or more.</span></strong></em></p>
<p style="text-align: center;"> <a href="http://bullmarketthinking.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/05/charting.jpg"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-7806" title="charting" src="http://bullmarketthinking.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/05/charting.jpg" alt="" width="442" height="257" /></a></p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><em>(click to enlarge)</em></p>
<p>Considering these historical daily moves in the context of expanding currency supplies, two things can be easily argued:</p>
<p>1. During the totality of this bull market we shall see dozens of trading days in which gold moves up in excess of <em><strong>6%-7%</strong></em>, with the final year of the bull market being punctuated by <em><strong>multiple 9%-10%+ daily moves</strong></em>.</p>
<p>2. These high percentage daily moves, will range in dollar terms,<strong> </strong><em><strong>anywhere from $100-$1,000+ on each of those trading days.</strong><strong> </strong></em></p>
<p><em><strong>A $1,000 move in the daily price of gold</strong></em> sounds like a complete absurdity, however, it&#8217;s simple and easy to conceive of in the context of a growing money supply. If we ever reach $10,000+ oz. gold, then <em><strong>you can bet on seeing many $100-$1,000 days</strong></em>. They will become <span style="text-decoration: underline;"><em><strong>statistical normalities</strong></em></span>.<br />
-</p>
<p><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Bottom Line</span>: </strong>This sell-off in gold may be remembered as just another skirmish meant to clear out <em>&#8220;enemy combatants&#8221;</em> (weak hands), before a final assault higher.</p>
<p>Both short and long term history are now pointing at <em><strong>amazing upside volatility</strong></em>, the likes of which<strong> </strong><em><strong>we haven&#8217;t seen in decades</strong></em>. When that volatility returns (likely in very short order), <em>these emotional days will be quickly forgotten</em>.</p>
<p>-<br />
<strong>Enjoy the article? Please support the site by sharing this URL page link with friends, family, and your favorite chat forum.</strong></p>
<p>Thanks,<br />
Tekoa Da Silva<br />
Bull Market Thinking</p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://bullmarketthinking.com/upside-volatility-in-gold-cometh-with-100-1000-daily-moves-being-statistically-normal/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Rob McEwen: &#8220;We Are At Or Very Near The Bottom In Gold, Definitely For Gold Shares&#8221;</title>
		<link>http://bullmarketthinking.com/rob-mcewen-we-are-at-or-very-near-the-bottom-for-gold-definitely-for-gold-shares/</link>
		<comments>http://bullmarketthinking.com/rob-mcewen-we-are-at-or-very-near-the-bottom-for-gold-definitely-for-gold-shares/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 10 May 2013 11:47:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Tekoa Da Silva</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Gold]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mining Shares]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://bullmarketthinking.com/?p=7876</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p style="text-align: center;"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-5273" title="Rob McEwen" src="http://bullmarketthinking.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/02/robmcewen.jpg" alt="" width="442" height="257" /></p>
I had the opportunity yesterday to join <em><strong>McEwen Mining</strong></em>'s Q1 2013 conference call, led by legendary founder and former CEO of <em><strong>GoldCorp</strong></em>, <em><strong>Rob McEwen</strong></em>. He is now the CEO, Chairman, and largest shareholder of <em><strong>McEwen Mining</strong></em>.

It was an interesting call, with over 30 minutes dedicated to listener Q&#38;A. In response to some very intelligent questions, Rob shared some very interesting market comments in return.

Here are the highlights:

With regard to the tightening interest-rate "noose" choking fixed-income dependants, Rob said, <strong style="font-style: italic;">"We're in a situation where governments have</strong>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p style="text-align: center;"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-5273" title="Rob McEwen" src="http://bullmarketthinking.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/02/robmcewen.jpg" alt="" width="442" height="257" /></p>
<p>I had the opportunity yesterday to join <em><strong>McEwen Mining</strong></em>&#8216;s Q1 2013 conference call, led by legendary founder and former CEO of <em><strong>GoldCorp</strong></em>, <em><strong>Rob McEwen</strong></em>. He is now the CEO, Chairman, and largest shareholder of <em><strong>McEwen Mining</strong></em>.</p>
<p>It was an interesting call, with over 30 minutes dedicated to listener Q&amp;A. In response to some very intelligent questions, Rob shared some very interesting market comments in return.</p>
<p>Here are the highlights:</p>
<p>With regard to the tightening interest-rate &#8220;noose&#8221; choking fixed-income dependants, Rob said,&nbsp;<strong style="font-style: italic;">&#8220;We&#8217;re in a situation where governments have dropped interest rates to a point that it&#8217;s</strong>&nbsp;<strong style="font-style: italic;">hurting so many people&#8212;the retired, those on pensions, those on retirement fixed income.</strong>&nbsp;<strong style="font-style: italic;">It&#8217;s forcing people into riskier and riskier investments and <span style="text-decoration: underline;">the price is large that will</span></strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">&nbsp;<strong style="font-style: italic;">have to be paid</strong></span><em><strong>.&#8221; </strong><em>(Editor&#8217;s note: what that &#8220;price&#8221; is, he didn&#8217;t say)</em></em></p>
<p>When asked if currently buying new positions in gold bullion and mining shares at these levels, Rob replied by saying,&nbsp;<strong style="font-style: italic;">&#8220;Not bullion. I think the shares are heavily discounted right now, and represent very interesting</strong>&nbsp;<strong style="font-style: italic;">opportunities. We see both good and bad situations discounted in equal amount, and I don&#8217;t</strong>&nbsp;<em><strong>believe we&#8217;ve seen buying opportunities like this since 1999 and 2001. I have done some buying&#8230;[and]&nbsp;</strong></em><strong style="font-style: italic;">I do believe <span style="text-decoration: underline;">we are at or very near the bottom for gold</span>, and <span style="text-decoration: underline;">definitely for gold shares</span>, and</strong>&nbsp;<em><strong>prices are going to improve.&#8221;</strong></em></p>
<p>Speaking to the expectation of a recovery in mining shares this year, Rob noted that,&nbsp;<strong style="font-style: italic;">&#8220;Gold shares I think are overdue</strong>&nbsp;<strong style="font-style: italic;">for a big move up by the end of the year, and there is a phenomena I&#8217;ll call the &#8220;White House</strong>&nbsp;<strong style="font-style: italic;">Affect.&#8221; If you go back to the presidential election in 1984 and look at the eight elections&#8230;</strong><strong style="font-style: italic;">up to 2012, in the year of every election, gold shares have fallen in value, and the year that</strong>&nbsp;<strong style="font-style: italic;">follows the election&#8230;the gold shares have risen. If you use the XAU as a measure of gold</strong>&nbsp;<strong style="font-style: italic;">shares, they&#8217;ve risen between 10% and 80% in the years that have followed a presidential election</strong>&nbsp;<strong style="font-style: italic;">in 7 out of those 8 periods. In the one year that they went down [it] was during the Bre-X scandal, as</strong>&nbsp;<strong style="font-style: italic;">it pulled the whole sector down. But based on that 7 out of 8 year increase, there&#8217;s a high</strong>&nbsp;<strong style="font-style: italic;">probability that at the end of this year, gold shares are going to be higher</strong><em><strong>.&#8221;</strong></em><strong></strong></p>
<p>Concluding on the value-driver to push the mining industry forward, Rob said,<em><strong>&nbsp;&#8221;In my experience it&#8217;s discoveries that create value and will pull the sector along, and that&#8217;s</strong>&nbsp;<strong>why we invest a lot of money in exploration, and we&#8217;ve met with some success.&#8221;</strong></em><br />
-</p>
<p><strong>Bottom Line</strong>: This was an interesting call with one of the great mine developers of our time. It is recommended listening for precious metals investors and those looking to add to their education in the space.</p>
<p>To listen to Rob McEwen&#8217;s Q1 2013 comments, visit: <strong><a href="http://www.mcewenmining.com/English/Media-Events/Events/Event-Details/2013/McEwen-Mining-Q1-Conference-Call">McEwenMining.com</a></strong></p>
<p>Disclosures: None</p>
<p><strong>Enjoy the commentary? Please support the site by&nbsp;sharing this URL page link with friends, family, and your favorite chat forum.</strong></p>
<p>Thanks,<br />
Tekoa Da Silva<br />
Bull Market Thinking</p>
<p>Photo <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/image/iuVgsMC1Bu1g.jpg">source</a>.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://bullmarketthinking.com/rob-mcewen-we-are-at-or-very-near-the-bottom-for-gold-definitely-for-gold-shares/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>YouTube Commentary: &#8220;80% Of The Move In Gold Will Come During The Final 20% Of The Market&#8212;So Hang On&#8221;</title>
		<link>http://bullmarketthinking.com/80-of-the-move-in-gold-will-come-during-the-final-20-so-hang-on/</link>
		<comments>http://bullmarketthinking.com/80-of-the-move-in-gold-will-come-during-the-final-20-so-hang-on/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 08 May 2013 12:20:04 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Tekoa Da Silva</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Gold]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mining Shares]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Silver]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Video]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://bullmarketthinking.com/?p=7774</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<iframe src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/xNonPCIzIvg?rel=0" frameborder="0" width="420" height="257"></iframe>
<p style="text-align: left;">In response to the last few week's carnage in the metals and mining markets, I felt compelled to produce a YouTube update on what we might be able to look forward too down the line. The theme of this commentary touches on "Pareto's Law", commonly known as]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p style="text-align: left;">In response to the last few week&#8217;s carnage in the metals and mining markets, I felt compelled to produce a YouTube update on what we might be able to look forward too down the line. The theme of this commentary touches on &#8220;Pareto&#8217;s Law&#8221;, commonly known as the &#8220;80/20&#8243; rule&#8230;which when applied to the markets, states that <em><strong>80% of the move will occur during the final 20% of a given bull market</strong></em> period.</p>
<p style="text-align: left;">Furthermore, we might also conclude that 80% of the people will jump on the bandwagon during that same final 20% period. So during these tough consolidations and shakeouts, remember the fundamentals and ultimate destination, as that will provide mental strength.</p>
<p>However, if you&#8217;re new to this sector, carefully invest in your education first.</p>
<p>With that said, please enjoy the following YouTube video.</p>
<p><em>To leave a comment in response, simply &#8220;click-through&#8221; over into YouTube, and enter it underneath the video.</em></p>
<p><iframe src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/xNonPCIzIvg?rel=0" frameborder="0" width="420" height="257"></iframe></p>
<p>Best,<br />
Tekoa Da Silva<br />
Bull Market Thinking</p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://bullmarketthinking.com/80-of-the-move-in-gold-will-come-during-the-final-20-so-hang-on/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>World Bank Whistle-blower: &#8220;Precious Metals To Serve As An Underpinning For Paper Currencies&#8221;</title>
		<link>http://bullmarketthinking.com/world-bank-whistle-blower-precious-metals-to-serve-as-an-underpinning-for-paper-currencies/</link>
		<comments>http://bullmarketthinking.com/world-bank-whistle-blower-precious-metals-to-serve-as-an-underpinning-for-paper-currencies/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 06 May 2013 10:57:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Tekoa Da Silva</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gold]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://bullmarketthinking.com/?p=7679</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-7693" title="Karen" src="http://bullmarketthinking.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/05/Karen2.jpg" alt="" width="425" height="239" />

I had the opportunity yesterday to speak with one of the western world's most courageous and astute women, <em><strong>Karen Hudes</strong></em>, <strong><em>Former Senior Council </em></strong>to the<strong><em> World Bank---</em></strong><strong><em><span style="text-decoration: underline;">now turned whistle-blower</span>.</em></strong>

During the interview Karen indicated that]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-7693" title="Karen" src="http://bullmarketthinking.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/05/Karen2.jpg" alt="" width="425" height="239" /></p>
<p>I had the opportunity yesterday to speak with one of the western world&#8217;s most courageous and astute women, <em><strong>Karen Hudes</strong></em>, <strong><em>Former Senior Counsel </em></strong>to the<strong><em> World Bank&#8212;</em></strong><strong><em><span style="text-decoration: underline;">now turned whistle-blower</span>.</em></strong></p>
<p>It was a powerful conversation, as Karen spent 20 years with the World Bank as an <em><strong>attorney and economist</strong></em>, before being <em><strong>&#8220;let-go&#8221;</strong></em> after reporting internal fraud and corruption.</p>
<p>During the interview Karen indicated that the world is rapidly changing, with <em><strong>western power structures breaking down</strong></em>, economic &amp; political influence gravitating to BRICs nations, all amid a pending <em><strong>currency transition which will highly favor precious metals</strong></em>.</p>
<p>Starting out by discussing the shocking centralized power she witnessed while working at the World Bank, Karen explained that, <em><strong>&#8220;A study done by three [Swiss] systems analysts who used mathematical modeling [shows] how the [world's] 43,000 transnational corporations were being controlled through interlocking corporate directorates. There&#8217;s a group of 147 companies, most of them are financial institutions, and what they&#8217;ve done, is through the interlocking directorates, they control 40% of the net worth of these [43k] companies, and 60% of their earnings&#8230;so that group has been using the presidency of the World Bank as kind of a puppet to dominate the world&#8212;that&#8217;s [now] finished.&#8221;</strong></em></p>
<p>A major shock to that centralized power base, according to Karen, was the recent move by BRICs nations leaders to <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-03-25/brics-nations-plan-new-bank-to-bypass-world-bank-imf.html">bypass the World Bank</a> for their financing needs, by establishing their own development bank. <em><strong>&#8220;As the BRICs [nations] economic power grows,&#8221;</strong></em> she explained,<strong> </strong><em><strong>&#8220;they&#8217;re not going to be strangled anymore through the grabbing [of] their resources&#8230;<em><strong>So their decision to start their own development bank was their way of letting [world] governments know&#8230;that its time to end this corruption.&#8221; </strong></em></strong></em></p>
<p>Major moves toward monetary independence are also being made by growing numbers of U.S. states, Karen added. She explained that, <em><strong>&#8220;The states are starting to have legislation recognizing gold and silver bullion as legal currency. This is [also] a <span style="text-decoration: underline;">very strong signal the states are sending to the federal government</span>, that the time to get serious <span style="text-decoration: underline;">about ending the corruption</span> in the financial system is now here.&#8221;</strong></em></p>
<p>When asked her thoughts on what this all means for the world monetary system, Karen said, <em><strong>&#8220;What&#8217;s going to happen, is we&#8217;re going to have all the countries of the world, sit down and figure out what&#8217;s going to be the best, most orderly transition from the current system that we have, [which has] profound imbalance and unsustainable deficits&#8230;[this change] is going to happen as each country makes its preference known, because the system we have now is not transparent, and the biggest change [in the new system], is that there&#8217;s going to be transparency.&#8221;</strong></em></p>
<p>That transparency may be found through a gold-backed currency system, Karen noted, as,<em><strong> &#8220;All of the countries of the world are going to allow precious metals to serve as currency, and this will be an underpinning for paper currency, [as] we&#8217;ll have both systems at the same time. This is my guess, as I mentioned&#8212;I am an economist.&#8221;</strong></em></p>
<p>As a final comment speaking towards her difficult journey as a World Bank whistle-blower, Karen said, <em><strong>&#8220;I&#8217;ve been struggling now for years, to tell the American public what&#8217;s [been] going on. I haven&#8217;t gotten through, because this [financial] group has bought up the press and has been spreading disinformation systematically. That undermines the whole point of a democracy. How can voters vote without an informed opinion, without the information that they&#8217;re entitled too? So <span style="text-decoration: underline;">this strangle-hold on information is going to end in very short order</span>.&#8221;</strong></em><br />
&#8212;&#8212;</p>
<p>This was a powerful interview conducted with a great American patriot and honorable world citizen. Karen is setting an example for the history books, and her interview is <em><strong>required listening</strong></em> for global thinkers and market students.</p>
<p>To listen to the interview, left click the following link and/or right click and &#8220;save target as&#8221; or &#8220;save link as&#8221; to to your desktop:</p>
<p><strong><span style="font-size: medium;"><a href="http://bullmarketthinking.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/05/552013hudes.mp3">&gt;&gt;Interview with Karen Hudes (MP3)</a></span></strong></p>
<p>To learn more about Karen and support her work, visit: <strong><a href="http://kahudes.net/">Kahudes.net</a></strong></p>
<p><strong>Enjoy the interview? Please support the site by sharing this URL page link with friends, family, and your favorite chat forum.</strong></p>
<p>Thanks,<br />
Tekoa Da Silva<br />
Bull Market Thinking</p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://bullmarketthinking.com/world-bank-whistle-blower-precious-metals-to-serve-as-an-underpinning-for-paper-currencies/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
<enclosure url="http://bullmarketthinking.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/05/552013hudes.mp3" length="4969757" type="audio/mpeg" />
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Marc Faber On Gold, Terrorism, &amp; Democratic Wealth Confiscation</title>
		<link>http://bullmarketthinking.com/marc-faber-on-gold-terrorism-democratic-wealth-confiscation/</link>
		<comments>http://bullmarketthinking.com/marc-faber-on-gold-terrorism-democratic-wealth-confiscation/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 03 May 2013 11:28:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Tekoa Da Silva</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gold]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://bullmarketthinking.com/?p=7602</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p style="text-align: center;"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-7609" title="" src="http://bullmarketthinking.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/05/faber.jpg" alt="" width="442" height="275" /></p>
I had the opportunity this week to connect with the legendary <em><strong>Marc Faber</strong></em>, publisher of <em><strong>The Gloom, Boom, &#38; Doom</strong></em> report. It was a fascinating conversation, as Marc is arguably the most well-traveled and street savvy economist alive.

During the interview Marc spoke on]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p style="text-align: center;"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-7609" title="" src="http://bullmarketthinking.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/05/faber.jpg" alt="" width="442" height="275" /></p>
<p>I had the opportunity this week to connect with the legendary <em><strong>Marc Faber</strong></em>, publisher of <em><strong>The Gloom, Boom, &amp; Doom</strong></em> report. It was a fascinating conversation, as Marc is arguably the most well-traveled and street savvy economist alive.</p>
<p>During the interview Marc spoke on gold from a variety of angles, as well as addressing growing &amp; future rates of terrorism, and coming asset confiscations to be supported by the&nbsp;<em><strong>&#8220;popular vote&#8221;</strong></em> worldwide.</p>
<p>With respect to recent loud cries of gold manipulation, Marc questioned that,&nbsp;<strong style="font-style: italic;">&#8220;Western central banks still own the bulk of gold in the world, and are well aware&#8230;[that] central banks in emerging economies, notably in Asia, are grossly underweight gold. So why would they depress the price of gold [as] a gift to the Asian central banks, to be able to buy [it] at a lower price? That I don&#8217;t [understand] entirely.&#8221;</strong></p>
<p>Rather than manipulative forces driving the price of gold down, Marc provided an alternative, explaining that,<strong>&nbsp;</strong><em><strong>&#8220;I think maybe&#8230;the collapse in gold prices recently, and the very strong performance in U.S. Treasuries&#8230;<span style="text-decoration: underline;">is signaling that a deflationary shock</span>, in spite&nbsp;of all the money printing, <span style="text-decoration: underline;">is still a&nbsp;possibility</span>&#8230;I would say if you had a deflationary shock, about the last&nbsp;thing you should own are paper assets&#8230;But I think&nbsp;<span style="text-decoration: underline;">if the markets collapse</span>&#8230;<span style="text-decoration: underline;">physical&nbsp;gold may be the [right] place to be relatively speaking</span>.&#8221;</strong></em></p>
<p>He further added,<strong> </strong><em><strong>&#8220;<span style="text-decoration: underline;">I&#8217;m still buying gold, and I will never sell my gold</span>. But I think the problem with investors, is that they always buy assets&nbsp;after they have moved [up] substantially&#8230;instead of continuously applying a&nbsp;disciplined investment strategy that implies diversification between real estate, cash and bonds, gold, and equities.&nbsp;</strong></em></p>
<p>Moving on to the subject of terrorism in the wake of the Boston bombings, Marc candidly stated that,&nbsp;<em><strong>&#8220;We have to realize that <span style="text-decoration: underline;">every action creates a reaction</span>&#8230;</strong></em><em><strong>the U.S. and the Western countries of Europe&#8230;they go into&nbsp;Afghanistan&nbsp;and Iraq, and launch drone attacks in&nbsp;Pakistan&#8230;Put yourself into the shoes of someone who grows up in a family that is not a&nbsp;terrorist, and&nbsp;suddenly&nbsp;a drone hits your house, and your parents die, or your children die&#8212;every day that breeds one new&nbsp;terrorist. That man&#8230;an innocent bystander, will basically vow revenge. The more you attack these people with artificial weapons&#8230;[the more] these people then also apply dirty methods [in return]&#8230;[So] if security and personal safety is an issue [to you], you&#8217;re&nbsp;better off [living] in the countryside.&#8221;</strong></em></p>
<p>When asked about growing levels of asset confiscations worldwide, Marc distilled the issue down to its core: manipulation of a democratic system, in which one class of people are pitted against another.</p>
<p><em><strong>&#8220;As a result of the Federal Reserve&#8217;s monetary policy,&#8221; </strong></em>Marc explained,<strong></strong><em><strong> &#8220;huge wealth and income inequality [was created]&#8230;You have 1% of the people in&nbsp;a system that benefited incredibly from rising asset prices&#8230;[and] a lot of people are dissatisfied. They have the same vote as the 1%, except they are the 99%&#8230;so to them, <span style="text-decoration: underline;">it will be very acceptable to take money away from the&nbsp;1%</span>&#8230;In the end something [big] will happen&#8230;what I would really hate is if one day&nbsp;the government comes and says, &#8216;<span style="text-decoration: underline;">Okay, we&#8217;re going to take 50% of your money and give it to social programs</span>&#8230;I think that is a real&nbsp;threat.&#8221;</strong></em></p>
<p>The democratic system can be manipulated with relative ease, Marc explained, because as a politician,<strong> </strong><em><strong>&#8220;Whatever goes wrong, you [just] blame someone, [and] you mostly blame [middle-class] people. They&#8217;re easy targets. You tell the majority of people, &#8216;You know why you have no jobs? You know why your salaries are going down in real terms? Because these rich guys are taking it away&nbsp;from you.&#8217;&#8221; </strong></em></p>
<p>As a final chilling comment to end the interview, Marc said,&nbsp;<em><strong>&#8220;<em><strong>In&nbsp;terms of social conditions in the western world, the wealth inequality, the money printing&#8212;it&#8217;s absurd to think that you can&nbsp;create economic growth by boosting asset prices&#8230;</strong></em>I&#8217;m 67,&nbsp;so<span style="text-decoration: underline;"> I hope I don&#8217;t have to see all the [ultimate] disaster</span>, but I am very, very bearish on the trend the world has embarked upon.&nbsp;</strong></em><br />
&#8212;&#8212;<br />
This was a powerful interview conducted with one of the great thinkers and economists of our time. &nbsp;It is <em><strong>required listening</strong></em> for serious investors and market students.</p>
<p>To listen to the interview, left click the following link and/or right click and &#8220;save target as&#8221; or &#8220;save link as&#8221; to to your desktop:</p>
<p><strong><span style="font-size: medium;"><a href="http://bullmarketthinking.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/05/522013faber.mp3">&gt;&gt;Interview with Marc Faber (MP3)</a></span></strong></p>
<p>To learn more about Marc and his newsletter visit: <strong><a href="http://new.gloomboomdoom.com/portalgbd/homegbd.cfm">GloomBoomDoom.com</a></strong></p>
<p><strong>Enjoy the interview? Please support the site by&nbsp;sharing this URL page link with friends, family, and your favorite chat forum.</strong></p>
<p>Thanks,<br />
Tekoa Da Silva<br />
Bull Market Thinking</p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://bullmarketthinking.com/marc-faber-on-gold-terrorism-democratic-wealth-confiscation/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
<enclosure url="http://bullmarketthinking.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/05/522013faber.mp3" length="18697720" type="audio/mpeg" />
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Sentry Investments: We&#8217;ve Seen This Before, It&#8217;s Quite Common For A Sector To Look Broken At The Bottom</title>
		<link>http://bullmarketthinking.com/sentry-investments-weve-seen-this-before-its-quite-common-for-a-sector-to-look-broken-at-the-bottom/</link>
		<comments>http://bullmarketthinking.com/sentry-investments-weve-seen-this-before-its-quite-common-for-a-sector-to-look-broken-at-the-bottom/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 01 May 2013 16:29:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Tekoa Da Silva</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Gold]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mining Shares]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://bullmarketthinking.com/?p=7542</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-7562" title="" src="http://bullmarketthinking.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/05/mining-operations.jpg" alt="" width="445" height="257" />

I had the chance to connect recently with one of Canada's rising fund managers, <strong><em><a href="http://www.sentry.ca/en/portfolio-team/portfolio-managers/jon-case.html">Jon Case</a></em></strong>, portfolio manager with <em><strong><a href="http://www.sentry.ca/en/about-us/about-sentry.html">Sentry Investments</a></strong></em>. Sentry manages over<strong> </strong><em><strong>$10 billion in assets</strong></em>, representing over 300,000 Canadian clients, and has further received numerous industry distinctions.

Here are the written notes from that conversation:

<em><strong>TD: Jon, looking at the action over the last</strong></em>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-7562" title="" src="http://bullmarketthinking.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/05/mining-operations.jpg" alt="" width="445" height="257" /></p>
<p>I had the chance to connect recently with one of Canada&#8217;s rising fund managers, <strong><em><a href="http://www.sentry.ca/en/portfolio-team/portfolio-managers/jon-case.html">Jon Case</a></em></strong>, portfolio manager with <em><strong><a href="http://www.sentry.ca/en/about-us/about-sentry.html">Sentry Investments</a></strong></em>. Sentry manages over<strong> </strong><em><strong>$10 billion in assets</strong></em>, representing over 300,000 Canadian clients, and has further received numerous industry distinctions.</p>
<p>Serving as co-portfolio manager<img class="size-full wp-image-7565 alignright" title="Jon Case" src="http://bullmarketthinking.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/05/Jon_Case.jpg" alt="" width="119" height="145" /> to over <em><strong>$1 billion in precious metals and natural resource funds</strong></em>, Jon was kind enough to share some commentary on the challenging environment of the mining sector, and recent sell-offs in the price of gold.</p>
<p>Here are the written notes from that conversation:</p>
<p><em><strong>TD: Jon, looking at the action over the last few weeks – anecdotally, was there anything that really shocked you guys there at Sentry?</strong></em><br />
<em><br />
<strong>JC:</strong> I think everyone, ourselves included, have been surprised by the magnitude of the pullback in gold, given that</em> <em>none of underlying drivers for gold have changed. With the benefit of hindsight some are attributing the sell-off</em> <em>in gold to ETF selling, a potential gold sale from Cyprus, and downgraded price forecasts from Goldman Sachs and</em> <em>SocGen. In our opinion, those events <strong>do not represent a fundamental change in the drivers of gold</strong>, and, therefore,</em> <em>they should have had [only] temporary price impacts. </em></p>
<p><em><strong>Broad measures of liquidity</strong> (Federal Reserve Balance) show that</em> <em>the global balance sheet <strong>continues to trend upwards, with no end in sight</strong> (though recently it did decrease in size</em> <em>due to a reduction in the ECB balance from the return of LTRO funds – however, we expect this reduction to be an</em> <em>aberration in the rise of global central bank balances, with US and Japan poised to expand their balance sheets at</em> <em>a rate that will more than offset ECB losses). Economic data points such as GDP, non-farm payrolls, and retail sales</em> <em>continue to show an economy that is barely growing (despite massive government stimulus in the form of deficit</em> <em>spending). Lastly, <strong>speculative positioning in the gold futures market is at a relatively low level</strong>, in the context of the</em> <em>range of positioning over the last four years.</em></p>
<p><em><strong>TD: What do you make of the conflicting message we&#8217;re seeing in gold – in terms of the paper markets selling off so</strong> <strong>strongly, but yet retail buyers flooding the bullion shops worldwide&#8230;what are your thoughts there? And do you see any</strong> <strong>similar institutional rush?</strong></em></p>
<p><em><strong>JC:</strong> The futures market overwhelms the physical market in value, so imbalances in the supply/demand dynamic in</em> <em>the latter have a tough time pushing around the former over small time periods. But over a sustained period of</em> <em>tightness in physical supply vs. strong demand, price would respond, and the paper market will follow suit. We</em> <em>track the supply/demand dynamics in the paper market by looking at the shape of the forward curve and the</em> <em>Commitment of Traders report; and in the physical market by looking at the physical premiums paid for gold</em> <em>delivered to India and China&#8212;the main sources of demand in the physical market. </em></p>
<p><em>On the physical front, we are</em> <em>seeing evidence of very strong physical demand coming from Asia, with premiums of $2 – $3/oz. in Hong Kong,</em> <em><strong>which is why we believe gold bounced off its lows</strong>. Whether that demand will continue to persist as gold pushes</em> <em>higher is not as clear, and <strong>there is some evidence of physicals premiums dropping off</strong> at current levels with gold up</em> <em>$125/oz. from its lows (at time of writing). This is not surprising, given that retail demand is highly price-sensitive,</em> <em>especially in India.</em></p>
<p><em>As for <strong>an institutional rush into gold, I don’t think that’s likely</strong> until we see some price stability, or <strong>until negative changes in other asset classes drive funds into gold.</strong> We believe the recent high volatility could discourage institutional activity over the near term, and, therefore, we expect gold to consolidate in a range for a few months, before we see it resume its climb higher.</em></p>
<p><em><strong>TD: And the mining shares Jon – they&#8217;ve been mutilated. Is this the end of the mining industry, or possibly one of the great</strong> <strong>markets that will be written about for years to come?</strong></em></p>
<p><em><strong>JC:</strong> There are tremendous opportunities to be found in the gold equities; however, the opportunity is not uniform</em> <em>across the sector, which is to say not all the gold equities are cheap. The sad reality is that weak price performance</em> <em>of some gold producers is justified, given that many cannot make positive free cash flow at current gold prices.</em></p>
<p><em>In 2012 we estimate that the four largest, publically listed gold producers on North American exchanges, which</em> <em>represent 41% of the total capitalization of all publically listed gold producers in North America, generated <strong>–$3.0</strong></em> <em><strong>billion in free cash flow</strong>. </em><em>In gold terms, that’s equivalent to saying the YoY change in their balance sheets reflected</em> <em>a cost of gold production of $1,839/oz. in a year where gold is $1,669/oz. So with gold off 12% YTD, some investors</em> <em>may see the drop in the broader gold equities of 35% as an opportunity, but in certain cases value has dropped by</em> <em>a similar or greater amount: if they weren&#8217;t profitable at $1,700, their prospects look dim at $1,450/oz.</em></p>
<p><em>On a more positive note, there are real businesses in the gold space that generate strong free cash flow at the</em> <em>current gold price. The recent pull-back in the equities has been more or less uniform – all gold equities have been</em> <em>painted with the same brush – and the result is an over-reaction in the share price declines of the top-quality</em> <em>producers, where the pull-back in price represents a gross exaggeration of the erosion to their profitability. </em></p>
<p><em><strong>We </strong></em><em><strong>are seeing valuation levels never seen before, with some gold producers now carrying free cash flow yields </strong></em><em>(implied by their current capitalization) at spot gold price <strong>in the double digits (10% &#8211; 15%) – a unique buying </strong></em><strong><em>opportunity.</em></strong></p>
<p><strong>TD: As a final question Jon, you guys have some of the world&#8217;s top fund managers working there at the firm&#8212;what would you say might be the</strong><strong> the overall fund consensus about this</strong> <strong>environment that we&#8217;re in?</strong></p>
<p><em><strong>JC:</strong> Kevin MacLean, my colleague, and the lead portfolio manager on Sentry Precious Metals Growth fund has been</em> <em>managing investments in the gold space since the 1980s, so he has seen multiple cycle peaks and crashes in gold</em> <em>and gold equities. His message is that he has seen this before&#8212;<strong>it’s quite common for the sector to look broken at</strong></em> <em><strong>the bottom</strong>, and that’s always the best time to buy.</em><br />
&#8212;</p>
<p><strong>Enjoy the commentary? Please support the site by sharing this URL page link with friends, family, and your favorite chat forum.</strong></p>
<p>Thanks,<br />
Tekoa Da Silva<br />
Bull Market Thinking</p>
<p>Photo <a href="http://i.thestreet.com/files/tsc/v2008/photo-gallery/finance/gold/mining-operations-gold.jpg">source</a>.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://bullmarketthinking.com/sentry-investments-weve-seen-this-before-its-quite-common-for-a-sector-to-look-broken-at-the-bottom/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
	</channel>
</rss>
